Podcasts & RSS Feeds
Most Active Stories
- Here's What The Big I-90 Closure Will Look Like. How Will You Survive?
- Study Finds MRSA 'Superbug' Lurking At Washington Firehouses
- 5 Reasons Eating Bugs Could Save The World, According To Seattle's Own 'Bug Chef'
- When A Bomb Goes Off During Your Study On Trauma: New UW Findings On PTSD
- Report Shows Coal, Oil Trains Would Quadruple Rail Traffic, Alarming Lawmakers
News & Music Contributors
Wed May 15, 2013
Immigrants To Be Largest Driver Of U.S. Population Growth
Originally published on Thu May 16, 2013 6:56 am
New immigrants will be the main driver of population growth in the U.S. by as early as 2027, according to new Census Bureau projections.
This would be the first time in almost two centuries that new births will not be the largest source of U.S. population growth.
The Census Bureau says its projections show a combination of declining fertility rates, aging baby boomers and ongoing immigration to the United States.
This trend stems less from more immigrants coming into the country than from Americans having fewer babies, explains Douglas Massey, who studies immigration patterns at Princeton University.
"This is something that's common throughout the developed world," Massey says. "Other countries have already reached this state, where immigration is the prime source of population growth."
A relatively high fertility rate, he adds, has made the U.S. unique among developed countries. But that rate has been slowly declining — a trend that will shift the American population growth dynamics as early as 2027 or as late as 2038. The exact year will depend on actual levels of immigration flows over the next few decades.